**Current forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 9, with the lowest temperatures expected in the 7–11°C range under variable cloud cover and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 10°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability, as radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from the preceding days and dew points near 6–9°C limiting sharp drops. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.2°C for the date, with extremes below 5°C rare outside strong high-pressure setups. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 5°C and 10°C bins because ensemble members diverge slightly on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight; fresh model runs and official station observations (typically at central Moscow sites) expected through the morning will likely resolve the precise minimum before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
10°C or higher 40%
5°C 33%
4°C 31%
6°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
0°C or below
6%
1°C
6%
2°C
8%
3°C
25%
4°C
31%
5°C
33%
6°C
29%
7°C
25%
8°C
6%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
40%
10°C or higher 40%
5°C 33%
4°C 31%
6°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
0°C or below
$53 Wol.
6%
1°C
$0 Wol.
6%
2°C
$0 Wol.
8%
3°C
$0 Wol.
25%
4°C
$20 Wol.
31%
5°C
$0 Wol.
33%
6°C
$16 Wol.
29%
7°C
$12 Wol.
25%
8°C
$0 Wol.
6%
9°C
$72 Wol.
8%
10°C or higher
$25 Wol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 9, with the lowest temperatures expected in the 7–11°C range under variable cloud cover and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 10°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability, as radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from the preceding days and dew points near 6–9°C limiting sharp drops. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.2°C for the date, with extremes below 5°C rare outside strong high-pressure setups. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 5°C and 10°C bins because ensemble members diverge slightly on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight; fresh model runs and official station observations (typically at central Moscow sites) expected through the morning will likely resolve the precise minimum before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$197Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 9, with the lowest temperatures expected in the 7–11°C range under variable cloud cover and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 10°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability, as radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from the preceding days and dew points near 6–9°C limiting sharp drops. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.2°C for the date, with extremes below 5°C rare outside strong high-pressure setups. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 5°C and 10°C bins because ensemble members diverge slightly on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight; fresh model runs and official station observations (typically at central Moscow sites) expected through the morning will likely resolve the precise minimum before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$197Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) point to a mild overnight period for Moscow on September 9, with the lowest temperatures expected in the 7–11°C range under variable cloud cover and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 10°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability, as radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from the preceding days and dew points near 6–9°C limiting sharp drops. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.2°C for the date, with extremes below 5°C rare outside strong high-pressure setups. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between 5°C and 10°C bins because ensemble members diverge slightly on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing overnight; fresh model runs and official station observations (typically at central Moscow sites) expected through the morning will likely resolve the precise minimum before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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