Forecast models for Munich on August 22 point to a daily minimum near 12°C, driven by late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Official outlooks from sources like the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate overnight lows of 11–13°C following daytime highs around 22–23°C, consistent with climatological norms for late August when average minima decline toward 12–14°C. Close market-implied odds among 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C reflect model spread in exact minimum thresholds, influenced by variables such as cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift readings by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.