Recent model consensus points to a cooler, unsettled pattern for Munich on September 9 driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. Increased cloud cover, showers, and winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 8–16 km/h) will enhance turbulent mixing while limiting daytime heating and moderating nocturnal radiative cooling, producing forecast minimums clustered around 12–14 °C according to GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance. Ensemble spread remains notable, with some members showing stronger cooling under persistent rain and others retaining slightly milder conditions if clearing occurs earlier, which accounts for the balanced market pricing between the sub-9 °C and 18 °C+ tails versus the narrower 12–15 °C outcomes favored by the central tendency. Updated runs later today and tomorrow will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
8°C or below 94%
18°C or higher 94%
15°C 49%
12°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
94%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
28%
12°C
36%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
49%
16°C
22%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
94%
8°C or below 94%
18°C or higher 94%
15°C 49%
12°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
94%
9°C
$0 Wol.
22%
10°C
$0 Wol.
21%
11°C
$0 Wol.
28%
12°C
$0 Wol.
36%
13°C
$0 Wol.
28%
14°C
$0 Wol.
29%
15°C
$38 Wol.
49%
16°C
$0 Wol.
22%
17°C
$0 Wol.
20%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a cooler, unsettled pattern for Munich on September 9 driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. Increased cloud cover, showers, and winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 8–16 km/h) will enhance turbulent mixing while limiting daytime heating and moderating nocturnal radiative cooling, producing forecast minimums clustered around 12–14 °C according to GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance. Ensemble spread remains notable, with some members showing stronger cooling under persistent rain and others retaining slightly milder conditions if clearing occurs earlier, which accounts for the balanced market pricing between the sub-9 °C and 18 °C+ tails versus the narrower 12–15 °C outcomes favored by the central tendency. Updated runs later today and tomorrow will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$38Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a cooler, unsettled pattern for Munich on September 9 driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. Increased cloud cover, showers, and winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 8–16 km/h) will enhance turbulent mixing while limiting daytime heating and moderating nocturnal radiative cooling, producing forecast minimums clustered around 12–14 °C according to GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance. Ensemble spread remains notable, with some members showing stronger cooling under persistent rain and others retaining slightly milder conditions if clearing occurs earlier, which accounts for the balanced market pricing between the sub-9 °C and 18 °C+ tails versus the narrower 12–15 °C outcomes favored by the central tendency. Updated runs later today and tomorrow will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$38Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a cooler, unsettled pattern for Munich on September 9 driven by a strengthening westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. Increased cloud cover, showers, and winds of 5–10 mph (roughly 8–16 km/h) will enhance turbulent mixing while limiting daytime heating and moderating nocturnal radiative cooling, producing forecast minimums clustered around 12–14 °C according to GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance. Ensemble spread remains notable, with some members showing stronger cooling under persistent rain and others retaining slightly milder conditions if clearing occurs earlier, which accounts for the balanced market pricing between the sub-9 °C and 18 °C+ tails versus the narrower 12–15 °C outcomes favored by the central tendency. Updated runs later today and tomorrow will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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