Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 15?
5°C 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$17,478 Wol.
$17,478 Wol.
May 15, 2026
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
Yes
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
No
5°C 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$17,478 Wol.
$17,478 Wol.
May 15, 2026
-2°C or below
$364 Wol.
No
-1°C
$599 Wol.
No
0°C
$992 Wol.
No
1°C
$804 Wol.
No
2°C
$793 Wol.
No
3°C
$873 Wol.
No
4°C
$1,514 Wol.
No
5°C
$3,002 Wol.
Yes
6°C
$659 Wol.
No
7°C
$2,108 Wol.
No
8°C or higher
$5,771 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,478Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,478Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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