Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for May 18, keeping the market tightly clustered with 9°C at 28% and 8°C at 24% implied probability. A cool, moist air mass combined with variable cloud cover and light winds will determine whether minimum temperatures at Le Bourget Airport dip to 8°C or hold near 9°C, as clearer skies could enhance cooling while persistent low clouds suppress it. Historical May lows average around 10°C, but the current setup favors a modest dip below that baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
9°C 33%
8°C 24%
7°C 16.0%
10°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
16%
8°C
24%
9°C
24%
10°C
11%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
2%
9°C 33%
8°C 24%
7°C 16.0%
10°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$62 Wol.
<1%
3°C
$57 Wol.
<1%
4°C
$25 Wol.
1%
5°C
$40 Wol.
1%
6°C
$56 Wol.
4%
7°C
$95 Wol.
16%
8°C
$22 Wol.
24%
9°C
$95 Wol.
24%
10°C
$52 Wol.
11%
11°C
$26 Wol.
5%
12°C or higher
$500 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for May 18, keeping the market tightly clustered with 9°C at 28% and 8°C at 24% implied probability. A cool, moist air mass combined with variable cloud cover and light winds will determine whether minimum temperatures at Le Bourget Airport dip to 8°C or hold near 9°C, as clearer skies could enhance cooling while persistent low clouds suppress it. Historical May lows average around 10°C, but the current setup favors a modest dip below that baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,031Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for May 18, keeping the market tightly clustered with 9°C at 28% and 8°C at 24% implied probability. A cool, moist air mass combined with variable cloud cover and light winds will determine whether minimum temperatures at Le Bourget Airport dip to 8°C or hold near 9°C, as clearer skies could enhance cooling while persistent low clouds suppress it. Historical May lows average around 10°C, but the current setup favors a modest dip below that baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,031Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBEnsemble forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for May 18, keeping the market tightly clustered with 9°C at 28% and 8°C at 24% implied probability. A cool, moist air mass combined with variable cloud cover and light winds will determine whether minimum temperatures at Le Bourget Airport dip to 8°C or hold near 9°C, as clearer skies could enhance cooling while persistent low clouds suppress it. Historical May lows average around 10°C, but the current setup favors a modest dip below that baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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