Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs indicate Paris overnight lows on May 17 will likely settle near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent cool, unstable Atlantic pattern through mid-May that has kept minima several degrees below the seasonal 9–10°C average at Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station. Forecasters expect the cloud deck to trap residual heat while northerly flow prevents significant warming, producing a tight probability cluster around 10°C as the leading outcome. New 00Z and 12Z model updates through resolution will refine exact cloud timing and any last-minute clearing that could push readings lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 17?
10°C 45%
9°C 19%
11°C 18%
12°C or higher 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
4%
9°C
19%
10°C
41%
11°C
27%
12°C or higher
9%
10°C 45%
9°C 19%
11°C 18%
12°C or higher 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$66 Wol.
<1%
3°C
$65 Wol.
<1%
4°C
$217 Wol.
1%
5°C
$340 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$347 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$167 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$87 Wol.
4%
9°C
$122 Wol.
19%
10°C
$66 Wol.
41%
11°C
$80 Wol.
27%
12°C or higher
$154 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs indicate Paris overnight lows on May 17 will likely settle near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent cool, unstable Atlantic pattern through mid-May that has kept minima several degrees below the seasonal 9–10°C average at Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station. Forecasters expect the cloud deck to trap residual heat while northerly flow prevents significant warming, producing a tight probability cluster around 10°C as the leading outcome. New 00Z and 12Z model updates through resolution will refine exact cloud timing and any last-minute clearing that could push readings lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,709Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs indicate Paris overnight lows on May 17 will likely settle near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent cool, unstable Atlantic pattern through mid-May that has kept minima several degrees below the seasonal 9–10°C average at Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station. Forecasters expect the cloud deck to trap residual heat while northerly flow prevents significant warming, producing a tight probability cluster around 10°C as the leading outcome. New 00Z and 12Z model updates through resolution will refine exact cloud timing and any last-minute clearing that could push readings lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,709Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs indicate Paris overnight lows on May 17 will likely settle near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent cool, unstable Atlantic pattern through mid-May that has kept minima several degrees below the seasonal 9–10°C average at Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station. Forecasters expect the cloud deck to trap residual heat while northerly flow prevents significant warming, producing a tight probability cluster around 10°C as the leading outcome. New 00Z and 12Z model updates through resolution will refine exact cloud timing and any last-minute clearing that could push readings lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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