Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
49°F or below 76%
68°F or higher 75%
58-59°F 37%
64-65°F 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
76%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
75%
49°F or below 76%
68°F or higher 75%
58-59°F 37%
64-65°F 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Wol.
76%
50-51°F
$5 Wol.
32%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
10%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
10%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
21%
58-59°F
$5 Wol.
35%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
19%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
11%
64-65°F
$5 Wol.
36%
66-67°F
$5 Wol.
1%
68°F or higher
$5 Wol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to a San Francisco low near 57–58°F on August 24, aligning with long-term August averages and typical marine-layer influence under moderate onshore flow. This keeps extreme outcomes less likely, though traders weigh slight forecast spreads from variations in fog timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the overnight minimum by a few degrees. Official observations from KSFO will resolve the market, with any late-model runs or unexpected clearing offering the main near-term catalysts for odds movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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