Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a daily minimum of 13–14°C overnight into August 21 in São Paulo, driven by a southward shift in steering flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after several warmer days near 30°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, combined with light southeasterly winds and typical winter boundary-layer stability, supports this range, though urban heat-island effects and station siting can introduce 1–2°C variability in official readings. Trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 9–14°C bins because ensemble spreads show modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling or measurement timing, with new model runs and INMET station updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 21?
9°C or below 37%
14°C 29%
11°C 29%
12°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
37%
10°C
28%
11°C
29%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
29%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 37%
14°C 29%
11°C 29%
12°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$18 Wol.
37%
10°C
$0 Wol.
28%
11°C
$0 Wol.
29%
12°C
$28 Wol.
28%
13°C
$37 Wol.
31%
14°C
$0 Wol.
29%
15°C
$0 Wol.
28%
16°C
$0 Wol.
28%
17°C
$50 Wol.
2%
18°C
$34 Wol.
2%
19°C or higher
$87 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a daily minimum of 13–14°C overnight into August 21 in São Paulo, driven by a southward shift in steering flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after several warmer days near 30°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, combined with light southeasterly winds and typical winter boundary-layer stability, supports this range, though urban heat-island effects and station siting can introduce 1–2°C variability in official readings. Trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 9–14°C bins because ensemble spreads show modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling or measurement timing, with new model runs and INMET station updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$253Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a daily minimum of 13–14°C overnight into August 21 in São Paulo, driven by a southward shift in steering flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after several warmer days near 30°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, combined with light southeasterly winds and typical winter boundary-layer stability, supports this range, though urban heat-island effects and station siting can introduce 1–2°C variability in official readings. Trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 9–14°C bins because ensemble spreads show modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling or measurement timing, with new model runs and INMET station updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$253Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to a daily minimum of 13–14°C overnight into August 21 in São Paulo, driven by a southward shift in steering flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after several warmer days near 30°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, combined with light southeasterly winds and typical winter boundary-layer stability, supports this range, though urban heat-island effects and station siting can introduce 1–2°C variability in official readings. Trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 9–14°C bins because ensemble spreads show modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling or measurement timing, with new model runs and INMET station updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania