Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration show a shift to cooler, drier northwest flow over Seoul-Incheon on September 14, with partly cloudy to clear skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading at those levels and the 20°C outcome. Key variables include exact timing of wind shifts (calmer conditions enhance cooling), residual cloud cover that could trap heat, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September lows in the region average near 17–19°C, but the current dry air mass and lack of precipitation increase the chance of readings dipping to 17°C or holding near 20°C depending on local urban heat effects and forecast updates from the next model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
19°C 37%
20°C 24%
18°C 23%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
23%
19°C
37%
20°C
18%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 37%
20°C 24%
18°C 23%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$419 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$233 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$421 Wol.
2%
17°C
$365 Wol.
15%
18°C
$857 Wol.
23%
19°C
$539 Wol.
37%
20°C
$688 Wol.
18%
21°C
$166 Wol.
1%
22°C
$160 Wol.
1%
23°C
$419 Wol.
1%
24°C or higher
$233 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration show a shift to cooler, drier northwest flow over Seoul-Incheon on September 14, with partly cloudy to clear skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading at those levels and the 20°C outcome. Key variables include exact timing of wind shifts (calmer conditions enhance cooling), residual cloud cover that could trap heat, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September lows in the region average near 17–19°C, but the current dry air mass and lack of precipitation increase the chance of readings dipping to 17°C or holding near 20°C depending on local urban heat effects and forecast updates from the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,500Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration show a shift to cooler, drier northwest flow over Seoul-Incheon on September 14, with partly cloudy to clear skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading at those levels and the 20°C outcome. Key variables include exact timing of wind shifts (calmer conditions enhance cooling), residual cloud cover that could trap heat, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September lows in the region average near 17–19°C, but the current dry air mass and lack of precipitation increase the chance of readings dipping to 17°C or holding near 20°C depending on local urban heat effects and forecast updates from the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,500Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration show a shift to cooler, drier northwest flow over Seoul-Incheon on September 14, with partly cloudy to clear skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading at those levels and the 20°C outcome. Key variables include exact timing of wind shifts (calmer conditions enhance cooling), residual cloud cover that could trap heat, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September lows in the region average near 17–19°C, but the current dry air mass and lack of precipitation increase the chance of readings dipping to 17°C or holding near 20°C depending on local urban heat effects and forecast updates from the next model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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