Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 22 project overnight lows near the seasonal Mediterranean average of 22–24°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C or below (31.5%) through 26–28°C outcomes because subtle differences in humidity, wind speed, and cloud cover can shift minimum readings by 2–3°C, with recent runs showing minor disagreements on exact cooling rates. Historical baselines confirm August lows rarely fall below 21°C or exceed 26°C, leaving the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
28°C 53%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
27°C 26%
22°C or below
-
23°C
1%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
26%
28°C
29%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
27°C 26%
22°C or below
-
23°C
1%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
26%
28°C
29%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Tel Aviv on August 22 project overnight lows near the seasonal Mediterranean average of 22–24°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C or below (31.5%) through 26–28°C outcomes because subtle differences in humidity, wind speed, and cloud cover can shift minimum readings by 2–3°C, with recent runs showing minor disagreements on exact cooling rates. Historical baselines confirm August lows rarely fall below 21°C or exceed 26°C, leaving the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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