Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C through mid-August under typical seasonal high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover or scattered showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average minimums around 24°C for this period, influenced by urban heat retention and high humidity that prevents sharp drops. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather aligns with these values, positioning 23°C and 24°C as the most probable outcomes while lower readings would require atypical clear-sky radiative losses or stronger frontal influences not currently projected. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
24°C 44%
23°C 38%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
18%
23°C
38%
24°C
44%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 38%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$48 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$38 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Wol.
3%
21°C
$15 Wol.
3%
22°C
$137 Wol.
18%
23°C
$1,585 Wol.
38%
24°C
$207 Wol.
44%
25°C
$145 Wol.
4%
26°C
$27 Wol.
2%
27°C
$38 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$65 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C through mid-August under typical seasonal high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover or scattered showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average minimums around 24°C for this period, influenced by urban heat retention and high humidity that prevents sharp drops. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather aligns with these values, positioning 23°C and 24°C as the most probable outcomes while lower readings would require atypical clear-sky radiative losses or stronger frontal influences not currently projected. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,319Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C through mid-August under typical seasonal high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover or scattered showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average minimums around 24°C for this period, influenced by urban heat retention and high humidity that prevents sharp drops. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather aligns with these values, positioning 23°C and 24°C as the most probable outcomes while lower readings would require atypical clear-sky radiative losses or stronger frontal influences not currently projected. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,319Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C through mid-August under typical seasonal high-pressure patterns, with limited cloud cover or scattered showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical climatology shows average minimums around 24°C for this period, influenced by urban heat retention and high humidity that prevents sharp drops. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather aligns with these values, positioning 23°C and 24°C as the most probable outcomes while lower readings would require atypical clear-sky radiative losses or stronger frontal influences not currently projected. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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