Wellington's coastal setting and variable springtime winds are the main factors keeping trader odds tightly clustered around an 8–10°C minimum for September 17. Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover have limited overnight radiative cooling, while an approaching southerly change and periods of rain are expected to moderate temperatures further by suppressing clear-sky heat loss. Official guidance from regional models points to overnight lows near 7–9°C, with small shifts in wind timing or cloud breaks able to push readings a degree either side of that band. Historical September minima average around 8°C, providing context for the balanced market pricing across the central outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
6°C 92%
11°C 91%
7°C 88%
12°C 85%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
4°C or below
45%
5°C
45%
6°C
92%
7°C
88%
8°C
48%
9°C
72%
10°C
48%
11°C
91%
12°C
85%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
6°C 92%
11°C 91%
7°C 88%
12°C 85%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
45%
5°C
$0 Wol.
45%
6°C
$0 Wol.
92%
7°C
$0 Wol.
88%
8°C
$0 Wol.
48%
9°C
$0 Wol.
72%
10°C
$0 Wol.
48%
11°C
$0 Wol.
91%
12°C
$0 Wol.
85%
13°C
$42 Wol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$57 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's coastal setting and variable springtime winds are the main factors keeping trader odds tightly clustered around an 8–10°C minimum for September 17. Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover have limited overnight radiative cooling, while an approaching southerly change and periods of rain are expected to moderate temperatures further by suppressing clear-sky heat loss. Official guidance from regional models points to overnight lows near 7–9°C, with small shifts in wind timing or cloud breaks able to push readings a degree either side of that band. Historical September minima average around 8°C, providing context for the balanced market pricing across the central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$99Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's coastal setting and variable springtime winds are the main factors keeping trader odds tightly clustered around an 8–10°C minimum for September 17. Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover have limited overnight radiative cooling, while an approaching southerly change and periods of rain are expected to moderate temperatures further by suppressing clear-sky heat loss. Official guidance from regional models points to overnight lows near 7–9°C, with small shifts in wind timing or cloud breaks able to push readings a degree either side of that band. Historical September minima average around 8°C, providing context for the balanced market pricing across the central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$99Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's coastal setting and variable springtime winds are the main factors keeping trader odds tightly clustered around an 8–10°C minimum for September 17. Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover have limited overnight radiative cooling, while an approaching southerly change and periods of rain are expected to moderate temperatures further by suppressing clear-sky heat loss. Official guidance from regional models points to overnight lows near 7–9°C, with small shifts in wind timing or cloud breaks able to push readings a degree either side of that band. Historical September minima average around 8°C, providing context for the balanced market pricing across the central outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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