Vail Resorts (MTN) faces 71.5% market-implied odds against beating consensus EPS in its fiscal Q4 2026 report due September 28, driven primarily by repeated recent misses and persistent weather-related revenue pressure. The company reported $8.81 EPS in Q3 (ended April 30), missing estimates by roughly 2%, with resort EBITDA down 9% year-over-year as western U.S. snow conditions cut skier visits 15% and lift revenue 5%. Management lowered full-year 2026 guidance to $128–162 million net income and $735–755 million resort EBITDA, citing anomalous weather, while early 2026/2027 pass sales fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars. Cost-efficiency gains of $106 million annualized provide partial offset, but seasonal Q4 losses and soft demand trends reinforce trader skepticism ahead of the release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?
29% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 28, 2026
29% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 28, 2026
As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Vail Resorts (MTN) faces 71.5% market-implied odds against beating consensus EPS in its fiscal Q4 2026 report due September 28, driven primarily by repeated recent misses and persistent weather-related revenue pressure. The company reported $8.81 EPS in Q3 (ended April 30), missing estimates by roughly 2%, with resort EBITDA down 9% year-over-year as western U.S. snow conditions cut skier visits 15% and lift revenue 5%. Management lowered full-year 2026 guidance to $128–162 million net income and $735–755 million resort EBITDA, citing anomalous weather, while early 2026/2027 pass sales fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars. Cost-efficiency gains of $106 million annualized provide partial offset, but seasonal Q4 losses and soft demand trends reinforce trader skepticism ahead of the release.
As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MTN/earningsRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Vail Resorts (MTN) faces 71.5% market-implied odds against beating consensus EPS in its fiscal Q4 2026 report due September 28, driven primarily by repeated recent misses and persistent weather-related revenue pressure. The company reported $8.81 EPS in Q3 (ended April 30), missing estimates by roughly 2%, with resort EBITDA down 9% year-over-year as western U.S. snow conditions cut skier visits 15% and lift revenue 5%. Management lowered full-year 2026 guidance to $128–162 million net income and $735–755 million resort EBITDA, citing anomalous weather, while early 2026/2027 pass sales fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars. Cost-efficiency gains of $106 million annualized provide partial offset, but seasonal Q4 losses and soft demand trends reinforce trader skepticism ahead of the release.
As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MTN/earningsRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Vail Resorts (MTN) faces 71.5% market-implied odds against beating consensus EPS in its fiscal Q4 2026 report due September 28, driven primarily by repeated recent misses and persistent weather-related revenue pressure. The company reported $8.81 EPS in Q3 (ended April 30), missing estimates by roughly 2%, with resort EBITDA down 9% year-over-year as western U.S. snow conditions cut skier visits 15% and lift revenue 5%. Management lowered full-year 2026 guidance to $128–162 million net income and $735–755 million resort EBITDA, citing anomalous weather, while early 2026/2027 pass sales fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars. Cost-efficiency gains of $106 million annualized provide partial offset, but seasonal Q4 losses and soft demand trends reinforce trader skepticism ahead of the release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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