Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$53,084 Wol.
$53,084 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$53,084 Wol.
$53,084 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,963 Wol.
97%
Republican Party
$32,120 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,084Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$53,084Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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