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icon for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Polityka·NZ

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

icon for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Polityka·NZ

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

30-34 37%

35-39 34%

40-44 17%

<25 1.4%

Polymarket

$21,231 Wol.

30-34 37%

35-39 34%

40-44 17%

<25 1.4%

Polymarket

$21,231 Wol.

<25

$1,231 Wol.

7%

25-29

$918 Wol.

1%

30-34

$6,273 Wol.

37%

35-39

$5,134 Wol.

39%

40-44

$6,036 Wol.

17%

45-49

$801 Wol.

<1%

50+

$838 Wol.

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National at roughly 29-30% party vote, projecting 33-39 seats under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November election, keeping the 30-34 and 35-39 ranges evenly matched in trader pricing. National’s support has eased from its 2023 result while Labour has narrowed the gap, with gains for ACT, NZ First, Greens, and the Opportunities Party fragmenting the vote and limiting National’s seat conversion. The right bloc (National-ACT-NZ First) trails the threshold for a clear majority in many simulations, and National’s exclusion of the Opportunities Party adds uncertainty over potential kingmaker dynamics. Upcoming campaign events, further polls, and minor-party threshold crossings could widen or narrow National’s projected range before election day.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Wolumen
$21,231
Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National at roughly 29-30% party vote, projecting 33-39 seats under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November election, keeping the 30-34 and 35-39 ranges evenly matched in trader pricing. National’s support has eased from its 2023 result while Labour has narrowed the gap, with gains for ACT, NZ First, Greens, and the Opportunities Party fragmenting the vote and limiting National’s seat conversion. The right bloc (National-ACT-NZ First) trails the threshold for a clear majority in many simulations, and National’s exclusion of the Opportunities Party adds uncertainty over potential kingmaker dynamics. Upcoming campaign events, further polls, and minor-party threshold crossings could widen or narrow National’s projected range before election day.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Wolumen
$21,231
Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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"NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "35-39" z 39%, za nim "30-34" z 37%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 39¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 39% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" wygenerował $21.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 29, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" jest "35-39" z 39%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 39% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "30-34" z 37%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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