Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$10,501 Wol.
$10,501 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
19%
$10,501 Wol.
$10,501 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,609 Wol.
79%
Democratic Party
$5,891 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,501Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$10,501Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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