Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced as the general election nominee. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for the Republican Party. Cole’s substantial cash reserves exceeding $2.5 million provide a clear fundraising edge heading into the November general election. A commanding position like this could face pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$25,389 Wol.
$25,389 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$25,389 Wol.
$25,389 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,515 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,874 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced as the general election nominee. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for the Republican Party. Cole’s substantial cash reserves exceeding $2.5 million provide a clear fundraising edge heading into the November general election. A commanding position like this could face pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,389Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced as the general election nominee. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for the Republican Party. Cole’s substantial cash reserves exceeding $2.5 million provide a clear fundraising edge heading into the November general election. A commanding position like this could face pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,389Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mitchell Jacob advanced as the general election nominee. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for the Republican Party. Cole’s substantial cash reserves exceeding $2.5 million provide a clear fundraising edge heading into the November general election. A commanding position like this could face pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic performance, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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