Putin's consolidated personal rule, reinforced by 2020 constitutional changes extending his eligibility through 2036 and the suppression of organized opposition, underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will materialize in 2026. High approval ratings near 86 percent, loyal security services, and the absence of visible elite fractures have kept domestic pressure minimal despite wartime economic strains and the Ukraine conflict. Past May 2026 security tightenings reflected isolated coup rumors rather than credible threats, and scheduled September legislative elections proceed under Kremlin management. These structural barriers and recent stability signals align with the 93.5 percent implied probability traders assign to no attempt occurring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7% szansa
$126,094 Wol.
$126,094 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% szansa
$126,094 Wol.
$126,094 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's consolidated personal rule, reinforced by 2020 constitutional changes extending his eligibility through 2036 and the suppression of organized opposition, underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will materialize in 2026. High approval ratings near 86 percent, loyal security services, and the absence of visible elite fractures have kept domestic pressure minimal despite wartime economic strains and the Ukraine conflict. Past May 2026 security tightenings reflected isolated coup rumors rather than credible threats, and scheduled September legislative elections proceed under Kremlin management. These structural barriers and recent stability signals align with the 93.5 percent implied probability traders assign to no attempt occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$126,094Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's consolidated personal rule, reinforced by 2020 constitutional changes extending his eligibility through 2036 and the suppression of organized opposition, underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will materialize in 2026. High approval ratings near 86 percent, loyal security services, and the absence of visible elite fractures have kept domestic pressure minimal despite wartime economic strains and the Ukraine conflict. Past May 2026 security tightenings reflected isolated coup rumors rather than credible threats, and scheduled September legislative elections proceed under Kremlin management. These structural barriers and recent stability signals align with the 93.5 percent implied probability traders assign to no attempt occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$126,094Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Putin's consolidated personal rule, reinforced by 2020 constitutional changes extending his eligibility through 2036 and the suppression of organized opposition, underpins trader expectations that no coup attempt will materialize in 2026. High approval ratings near 86 percent, loyal security services, and the absence of visible elite fractures have kept domestic pressure minimal despite wartime economic strains and the Ukraine conflict. Past May 2026 security tightenings reflected isolated coup rumors rather than credible threats, and scheduled September legislative elections proceed under Kremlin management. These structural barriers and recent stability signals align with the 93.5 percent implied probability traders assign to no attempt occurring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania