South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0% 24.4%
4.4-4.7% 8.9%
3.5-3.8% 7.1%
4.7-5.0% 3.0%
$21,375 Wol.
$21,375 Wol.
Jan 20, 2027
<2.6%
27%
2.6-2.9%
22%
2.9-3.2%
43%
3.2-3.5%
27%
3.5-3.8%
16%
3.8-4.1%
33%
4.1-4.4%
38%
4.4-4.7%
9%
4.7-5.0%
22%
>5.0%
24%
>5.0% 24.4%
4.4-4.7% 8.9%
3.5-3.8% 7.1%
4.7-5.0% 3.0%
$21,375 Wol.
$21,375 Wol.
Jan 20, 2027
<2.6%
$267 Wol.
27%
2.6-2.9%
$282 Wol.
22%
2.9-3.2%
$369 Wol.
43%
3.2-3.5%
$369 Wol.
27%
3.5-3.8%
$471 Wol.
16%
3.8-4.1%
$661 Wol.
33%
4.1-4.4%
$539 Wol.
38%
4.4-4.7%
$12,095 Wol.
9%
4.7-5.0%
$373 Wol.
22%
>5.0%
$5,948 Wol.
24%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Rynek otwarty: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,375Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Wolumen
$21,375Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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