SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, now targeting a June 2026 debut with roadshow activity set for early June and pricing around June 11, underpins the strong 71% implied probability for a $2 trillion-plus closing market cap. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have already lifted valuations from $800 billion to $1.25 trillion, while official targets of $1.75–2 trillion reflect expectations for rapid Starlink subscriber growth, Starship flight-rate scaling, and space-based AI infrastructure. Traders appear to view the $75 billion capital raise and record retail allocation as catalysts that could lock in premium pricing upon Nasdaq listing, consistent with the company's shift from private secondary sales to public-market valuation discovery.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Niższe Strajki)
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Niższe Strajki)
2,0 bln+ 71%
1,8–2,0 bln 13%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln 6.6%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln 4.1%
$971,322 Wol.
$971,322 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Brak debiutu giełdowego przed 2028 rokiem
1%
<1,0 bln
3%
1,0 bln–1,2 bln
2%
1,2–1,4 bln USD
3%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln
4%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln
7%
1,8–2,0 bln
13%
2,0 bln+
71%
2,0 bln+ 71%
1,8–2,0 bln 13%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln 6.6%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln 4.1%
$971,322 Wol.
$971,322 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Brak debiutu giełdowego przed 2028 rokiem
$195,428 Wol.
1%
<1,0 bln
$78,611 Wol.
3%
1,0 bln–1,2 bln
$55,531 Wol.
2%
1,2–1,4 bln USD
$72,664 Wol.
3%
1,4 bln–1,6 bln
$117,745 Wol.
4%
1,6 bln–1,8 bln
$120,453 Wol.
7%
1,8–2,0 bln
$108,717 Wol.
13%
2,0 bln+
$222,173 Wol.
71%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, now targeting a June 2026 debut with roadshow activity set for early June and pricing around June 11, underpins the strong 71% implied probability for a $2 trillion-plus closing market cap. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have already lifted valuations from $800 billion to $1.25 trillion, while official targets of $1.75–2 trillion reflect expectations for rapid Starlink subscriber growth, Starship flight-rate scaling, and space-based AI infrastructure. Traders appear to view the $75 billion capital raise and record retail allocation as catalysts that could lock in premium pricing upon Nasdaq listing, consistent with the company's shift from private secondary sales to public-market valuation discovery.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$971,322Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, now targeting a June 2026 debut with roadshow activity set for early June and pricing around June 11, underpins the strong 71% implied probability for a $2 trillion-plus closing market cap. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have already lifted valuations from $800 billion to $1.25 trillion, while official targets of $1.75–2 trillion reflect expectations for rapid Starlink subscriber growth, Starship flight-rate scaling, and space-based AI infrastructure. Traders appear to view the $75 billion capital raise and record retail allocation as catalysts that could lock in premium pricing upon Nasdaq listing, consistent with the company's shift from private secondary sales to public-market valuation discovery.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$971,322Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, now targeting a June 2026 debut with roadshow activity set for early June and pricing around June 11, underpins the strong 71% implied probability for a $2 trillion-plus closing market cap. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have already lifted valuations from $800 billion to $1.25 trillion, while official targets of $1.75–2 trillion reflect expectations for rapid Starlink subscriber growth, Starship flight-rate scaling, and space-based AI infrastructure. Traders appear to view the $75 billion capital raise and record retail allocation as catalysts that could lock in premium pricing upon Nasdaq listing, consistent with the company's shift from private secondary sales to public-market valuation discovery.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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