Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 following a U.S. Supreme Court decision on voting maps, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and incorporating more suburban and rural areas while diluting Memphis's urban core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew from the race rather than seek reelection in the altered boundaries. In the August 6 primaries, state Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic side, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. These structural changes and the resulting open-seat dynamics have driven trader consensus toward the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the now solidly Republican-leaning district.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$33,175 Wol.
$33,175 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$33,175 Wol.
$33,175 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,961 Wol.
84%
Democratic Party
$13,214 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 following a U.S. Supreme Court decision on voting maps, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and incorporating more suburban and rural areas while diluting Memphis's urban core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew from the race rather than seek reelection in the altered boundaries. In the August 6 primaries, state Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic side, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. These structural changes and the resulting open-seat dynamics have driven trader consensus toward the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the now solidly Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,175Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 following a U.S. Supreme Court decision on voting maps, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and incorporating more suburban and rural areas while diluting Memphis's urban core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew from the race rather than seek reelection in the altered boundaries. In the August 6 primaries, state Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic side, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. These structural changes and the resulting open-seat dynamics have driven trader consensus toward the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the now solidly Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,175Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district underwent major redistricting in May 2026 following a U.S. Supreme Court decision on voting maps, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and incorporating more suburban and rural areas while diluting Memphis's urban core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew from the race rather than seek reelection in the altered boundaries. In the August 6 primaries, state Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic side, setting up a November 3 general election matchup. These structural changes and the resulting open-seat dynamics have driven trader consensus toward the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the now solidly Republican-leaning district.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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