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icon for Trump approval rating on July 10?

Trump approval rating on July 10?

icon for Trump approval rating on July 10?

Trump approval rating on July 10?

41.0+ 49%

<39.0 45%

39.5–39.9 45%

40.0–40.4 45%

Polymarket
NOWE

41.0+ 49%

<39.0 45%

39.5–39.9 45%

40.0–40.4 45%

Polymarket
NOWE

<39.0

$0 Wol.

45%

39.0–39.4

$0 Wol.

44%

39.5–39.9

$0 Wol.

45%

40.0–40.4

$0 Wol.

45%

40.5–40.9

$0 Wol.

45%

41.0+

$0 Wol.

49%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s job approval has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s range through early July 2026, with recent weekly aggregates showing modest gains from roughly –19 to –18 net. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, energy prices, and cost-of-living concerns, continue to weigh on public sentiment, while diplomatic developments around Iran and routine July 4th messaging have produced only incremental movement. With just one week until the July 10 measurement date and no scheduled high-impact events or major policy announcements on the immediate horizon, polling averages have shown limited volatility. Traders therefore see roughly even odds across narrow bands clustered near current levels, reflecting the historical tendency of presidential approval to move gradually absent sudden catalysts.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s job approval has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s range through early July 2026, with recent weekly aggregates showing modest gains from roughly –19 to –18 net. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, energy prices, and cost-of-living concerns, continue to weigh on public sentiment, while diplomatic developments around Iran and routine July 4th messaging have produced only incremental movement. With just one week until the July 10 measurement date and no scheduled high-impact events or major policy announcements on the immediate horizon, polling averages have shown limited volatility. Traders therefore see roughly even odds across narrow bands clustered near current levels, reflecting the historical tendency of presidential approval to move gradually absent sudden catalysts.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Trump approval rating on July 10?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "41.0+" z 49%, za nim "<39.0" z 45%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 49¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Trump approval rating on July 10?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 3, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Trump approval rating on July 10?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Trump approval rating on July 10?" jest "41.0+" z 49%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<39.0" z 45%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Trump approval rating on July 10?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.