**Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% due to ironclad Torrijos-Carter Treaties ensuring Panama's permanent control and neutrality of the canal since 1999, with no US executive orders, congressional resolutions, or military mobilizations signaling seizure.** President Trump's prior threats to retake it over alleged unfair fees and Chinese influence have not materialized into action, especially after Panama's Supreme Court voided Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison's unconstitutional port contracts in late January 2026, prompting government seizure of the Balboa and Cristobal terminals in February. The US House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party hailed this as a security win, while in April, Washington led allies in affirming Panama's sovereignty amid China's retaliatory detention of Panamanian-flagged ships. The 2026 National Defense Strategy prioritizes guaranteed access over control, underscoring low barriers-crossing risk absent unprecedented escalation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$71,696 Wol.
$71,696 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$71,696 Wol.
$71,696 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% due to ironclad Torrijos-Carter Treaties ensuring Panama's permanent control and neutrality of the canal since 1999, with no US executive orders, congressional resolutions, or military mobilizations signaling seizure.** President Trump's prior threats to retake it over alleged unfair fees and Chinese influence have not materialized into action, especially after Panama's Supreme Court voided Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison's unconstitutional port contracts in late January 2026, prompting government seizure of the Balboa and Cristobal terminals in February. The US House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party hailed this as a security win, while in April, Washington led allies in affirming Panama's sovereignty amid China's retaliatory detention of Panamanian-flagged ships. The 2026 National Defense Strategy prioritizes guaranteed access over control, underscoring low barriers-crossing risk absent unprecedented escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$71,696Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% due to ironclad Torrijos-Carter Treaties ensuring Panama's permanent control and neutrality of the canal since 1999, with no US executive orders, congressional resolutions, or military mobilizations signaling seizure.** President Trump's prior threats to retake it over alleged unfair fees and Chinese influence have not materialized into action, especially after Panama's Supreme Court voided Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison's unconstitutional port contracts in late January 2026, prompting government seizure of the Balboa and Cristobal terminals in February. The US House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party hailed this as a security win, while in April, Washington led allies in affirming Panama's sovereignty amid China's retaliatory detention of Panamanian-flagged ships. The 2026 National Defense Strategy prioritizes guaranteed access over control, underscoring low barriers-crossing risk absent unprecedented escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Wolumen
$71,696Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% due to ironclad Torrijos-Carter Treaties ensuring Panama's permanent control and neutrality of the canal since 1999, with no US executive orders, congressional resolutions, or military mobilizations signaling seizure.** President Trump's prior threats to retake it over alleged unfair fees and Chinese influence have not materialized into action, especially after Panama's Supreme Court voided Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison's unconstitutional port contracts in late January 2026, prompting government seizure of the Balboa and Cristobal terminals in February. The US House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party hailed this as a security win, while in April, Washington led allies in affirming Panama's sovereignty amid China's retaliatory detention of Panamanian-flagged ships. The 2026 National Defense Strategy prioritizes guaranteed access over control, underscoring low barriers-crossing risk absent unprecedented escalation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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