Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in statewide contests. Incumbent Becca Balint advanced easily through the August 2026 Democratic primary and maintains comfortable leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Fundraising, endorsements from organized labor, and the absence of competitive opposition reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The narrow Republican primary win by Malloy has not altered the structural dynamics. A major scandal, significant health development, or unforeseen national realignment within the final weeks could narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$34,989 Wol.
$34,989 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$34,989 Wol.
$34,989 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,650 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$26,340 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in statewide contests. Incumbent Becca Balint advanced easily through the August 2026 Democratic primary and maintains comfortable leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Fundraising, endorsements from organized labor, and the absence of competitive opposition reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The narrow Republican primary win by Malloy has not altered the structural dynamics. A major scandal, significant health development, or unforeseen national realignment within the final weeks could narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,989Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in statewide contests. Incumbent Becca Balint advanced easily through the August 2026 Democratic primary and maintains comfortable leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Fundraising, endorsements from organized labor, and the absence of competitive opposition reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The narrow Republican primary win by Malloy has not altered the structural dynamics. A major scandal, significant health development, or unforeseen national realignment within the final weeks could narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$34,989Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats continuously since 1990, reflecting consistent voter preferences in statewide contests. Incumbent Becca Balint advanced easily through the August 2026 Democratic primary and maintains comfortable leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Fundraising, endorsements from organized labor, and the absence of competitive opposition reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The narrow Republican primary win by Malloy has not altered the structural dynamics. A major scandal, significant health development, or unforeseen national realignment within the final weeks could narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania