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icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Gospodarka·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Gospodarka·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
NOWE

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
NOWE

<553k

$0 Wol.

7%

553 - 559k

$96 Wol.

22%

559 - 566k

$95 Wol.

43%

566 - 572k

$1,002 Wol.

21%

572 - 579k

$0 Wol.

10%

579 - 585k

$0 Wol.

7%

585 - 598k

$6 Wol.

7%

>598k

$0 Wol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Wolumen
$1,199
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Wolumen
$1,199
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "559 - 566k" z 43%, za nim "553 - 559k" z 22%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 43¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony May 4, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" jest "559 - 566k" z 43%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "553 - 559k" z 22%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.