Recent observational data and stable global emissions trends near 42 GtCO₂ annually support the Climate Clock's current 1.5°C deadline around mid-2029, derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget of roughly 400 GtCO₂. The display changes only with infrequent revisions to underlying carbon budget estimates or emissions rate assumptions, typically tied to major updates from the Global Carbon Project or IPCC assessments rather than short-term temperature fluctuations or model tweaks. No such authoritative recalculation or new comprehensive report is scheduled before late 2026, aligning with the market-implied 84.5% probability that the deadline remains unchanged through December 31. Ongoing monitoring of emission inventories and any interim carbon budget refinements could still influence future adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
16% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 1, 2027
16% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 1, 2027
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent observational data and stable global emissions trends near 42 GtCO₂ annually support the Climate Clock's current 1.5°C deadline around mid-2029, derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget of roughly 400 GtCO₂. The display changes only with infrequent revisions to underlying carbon budget estimates or emissions rate assumptions, typically tied to major updates from the Global Carbon Project or IPCC assessments rather than short-term temperature fluctuations or model tweaks. No such authoritative recalculation or new comprehensive report is scheduled before late 2026, aligning with the market-implied 84.5% probability that the deadline remains unchanged through December 31. Ongoing monitoring of emission inventories and any interim carbon budget refinements could still influence future adjustments.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,857Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2029Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://climateclock.worldResolver
0x65070BE91...Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent observational data and stable global emissions trends near 42 GtCO₂ annually support the Climate Clock's current 1.5°C deadline around mid-2029, derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget of roughly 400 GtCO₂. The display changes only with infrequent revisions to underlying carbon budget estimates or emissions rate assumptions, typically tied to major updates from the Global Carbon Project or IPCC assessments rather than short-term temperature fluctuations or model tweaks. No such authoritative recalculation or new comprehensive report is scheduled before late 2026, aligning with the market-implied 84.5% probability that the deadline remains unchanged through December 31. Ongoing monitoring of emission inventories and any interim carbon budget refinements could still influence future adjustments.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
Wolumen
$7,857Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://climateclock.worldResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent observational data and stable global emissions trends near 42 GtCO₂ annually support the Climate Clock's current 1.5°C deadline around mid-2029, derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget of roughly 400 GtCO₂. The display changes only with infrequent revisions to underlying carbon budget estimates or emissions rate assumptions, typically tied to major updates from the Global Carbon Project or IPCC assessments rather than short-term temperature fluctuations or model tweaks. No such authoritative recalculation or new comprehensive report is scheduled before late 2026, aligning with the market-implied 84.5% probability that the deadline remains unchanged through December 31. Ongoing monitoring of emission inventories and any interim carbon budget refinements could still influence future adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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