President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0%, 15%, and 20%. Subsequent Republican proposals to index gains for inflation or lower the top rate have advanced only to internal debate, with key lawmakers divided ahead of the November 2026 midterms and no floor vote scheduled. Executive-action routes remain under discussion but face procedural and legal hurdles. These legislative patterns and timeline constraints have shaped the 58.5% trader-implied probability that no rate cut will occur before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0%, 15%, and 20%. Subsequent Republican proposals to index gains for inflation or lower the top rate have advanced only to internal debate, with key lawmakers divided ahead of the November 2026 midterms and no floor vote scheduled. Executive-action routes remain under discussion but face procedural and legal hurdles. These legislative patterns and timeline constraints have shaped the 58.5% trader-implied probability that no rate cut will occur before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,576Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0%, 15%, and 20%. Subsequent Republican proposals to index gains for inflation or lower the top rate have advanced only to internal debate, with key lawmakers divided ahead of the November 2026 midterms and no floor vote scheduled. Executive-action routes remain under discussion but face procedural and legal hurdles. These legislative patterns and timeline constraints have shaped the 58.5% trader-implied probability that no rate cut will occur before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$1,576Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0%, 15%, and 20%. Subsequent Republican proposals to index gains for inflation or lower the top rate have advanced only to internal debate, with key lawmakers divided ahead of the November 2026 midterms and no floor vote scheduled. Executive-action routes remain under discussion but face procedural and legal hurdles. These legislative patterns and timeline constraints have shaped the 58.5% trader-implied probability that no rate cut will occur before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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