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Google Search predictions & odds

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Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

2%

1480+

$182K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

99

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

22%

$9.0K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above___?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above___?

98%

$375

$5.2K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

92%

40%+

$136K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Google (GOOGL) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Google (GOOGL) closes week of May 11 at ___?

21%

$400-$405

$887 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on May 14?

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$375

$223 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?

46%

Up

$180 Vol.

$683 Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

57%

50%+

$312K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

86%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$333K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

80%

Anthropic

$437K Vol.

$62.0K today

$172K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

68%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$817K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

81%

Anthropic

$61.9K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

75%

Anthropic

$107K Vol.

$59.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

90%

ChatGPT

$6.6K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

94%

OpenAI

$25.1K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

82%

Claude by Anthropic

$3.2K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

20%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$692K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

20

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

87%

Anthropic

$15.1K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

68%

Anthropic

$2.9K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

60%

Anthropic

$7.0K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Google Search.

Polymarket currently hosts 172 active markets for Google Search that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Google Search predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.