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Breaking predictions & odds

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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

69%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$7M Vol.

$183K today

$837K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

74%

Avengers: Doomsday

$2M Vol.

$98.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

45%

Avengers: Doomsday

$12.8K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

20%

$59.7K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

94%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$479K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

33

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

20%

$52.5K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$462K Vol.

$85.4K today

$351K Liq.

35

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

10

What will Trump say during Bret Baier interview?

What will Trump say during Bret Baier interview?

77%

Iran

$241 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

71%

200,000+

$45.0K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

54%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$332K today

$287K Liq.

459

Ends in about 2 months

How long will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure?

How long will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure?

42%

200h+

$15.5K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

52%

↑ 85,000

$15M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 17 days

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

39%

BMO

$21.7K Vol.

$66.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

45%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$6.9K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

59%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 500

$110K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Breaking.

Polymarket currently hosts 189 active markets for Breaking that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest grossing movie in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Breaking predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.