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Kurds predictions & odds

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Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

5%

$138K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

10%

$52.5K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

4%

$16.6K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

10

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

77%

<5

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

52%

Türkiye

$43 Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Türkiye vs. Paraguay

Türkiye vs. Paraguay

44%

Türkiye

$396 Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

<1%

Fed Rate Cut

$736K Vol.

$454K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

81%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor

Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor

50%

Draw (Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor)

$219 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will BNB hit in May?

What price will BNB hit in May?

40%

↑ 700

$19.5K Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor

80%

Draw (Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor)

$5.1K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$197K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $304

$98.7K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$207K today

$314K Liq.

447

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

19%

↑ 0.16

$947 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia

47%

North Macedonia

$1 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Kurds.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Kurds that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Kurds predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.