The Bank of Korea’s April decision to hold the policy rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks between upside inflation pressures and downside growth concerns continues to anchor the 98.2% market-implied odds of no change at the May 28 meeting. Recent comments from Senior Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai highlighting the need to consider rate hikes, given growth unlikely to fall much below 2.0% and inflation exceeding prior 2.2% forecasts, have not shifted trader consensus, as the central bank maintains its data-dependent stance with inflation at 2.6% year-over-year in April and first-quarter GDP near 1.7% supported by semiconductor exports. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of an increase before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDecisão do Banco da Coreia em maio?
Sem alteração 98.2%
Aumento 1.8%
Diminuir <1%
$106,265 Vol.
$106,265 Vol.
Diminuir
<1%
Sem alteração
98%
Aumento
2%
Sem alteração 98.2%
Aumento 1.8%
Diminuir <1%
$106,265 Vol.
$106,265 Vol.
Diminuir
<1%
Sem alteração
98%
Aumento
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s April decision to hold the policy rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks between upside inflation pressures and downside growth concerns continues to anchor the 98.2% market-implied odds of no change at the May 28 meeting. Recent comments from Senior Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai highlighting the need to consider rate hikes, given growth unlikely to fall much below 2.0% and inflation exceeding prior 2.2% forecasts, have not shifted trader consensus, as the central bank maintains its data-dependent stance with inflation at 2.6% year-over-year in April and first-quarter GDP near 1.7% supported by semiconductor exports. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of an increase before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions