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Eleições·Primárias

FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Eleições·Primárias

FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Lois Frankel 100.0%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Oliver Adams Larkin <1%

Victoria Doyle <1%

Polymarket

$70,875 Vol.

Lois Frankel 100.0%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Oliver Adams Larkin <1%

Victoria Doyle <1%

Polymarket

$70,875 Vol.

icon for Jared Moskowitz

Jared Moskowitz

$17,100 Vol.

Não

icon for Oliver Adams Larkin

Oliver Adams Larkin

$24,981 Vol.

Não

icon for Lois Frankel

Lois Frankel

$22,169 Vol.

Sim

icon for Victoria Doyle

Victoria Doyle

$6,625 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Lois Frankel secured the Democratic nomination for Florida's 23rd congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, reflecting her established position in a district redrawn to favor Democratic performance. Official results showed Frankel defeating challengers Victoria Doyle and Mark Piper by a wide margin, consistent with her prior electoral record and fundraising advantages in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels aligns with these confirmed vote tallies and the absence of viable opposition. Late certification delays, unexpected legal challenges to ballot eligibility, or verified discrepancies in county reporting could theoretically alter resolution, though historical patterns in Florida primaries indicate such shifts remain improbable once results are certified.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,875
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Lois Frankel secured the Democratic nomination for Florida's 23rd congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, reflecting her established position in a district redrawn to favor Democratic performance. Official results showed Frankel defeating challengers Victoria Doyle and Mark Piper by a wide margin, consistent with her prior electoral record and fundraising advantages in Broward and Palm Beach counties. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels aligns with these confirmed vote tallies and the absence of viable opposition. Late certification delays, unexpected legal challenges to ballot eligibility, or verified discrepancies in county reporting could theoretically alter resolution, though historical patterns in Florida primaries indicate such shifts remain improbable once results are certified.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,875
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lois Frankel" at 100%, followed by "Jared Moskowitz" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $70.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Lois Frankel" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jared Moskowitz" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.