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MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

$24,306 Vol.

Polymarket

$24,306 Vol.

Ilhan Omar

$20,096 Vol.

84%

Latonya Reeves

$4,210 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 84% trader consensus in the Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from her securing the DFL party endorsement by acclamation at the district convention on May 11, unlocking key volunteer networks, fundraising support, and voter turnout machinery ahead of the August 11 primary. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and AFSCME union leader, withdrew her endorsement bid during her convention speech but pledged to contest the primary, positioning her as a distant second at 14.5% amid Omar's proven reelection record since 2019 and lack of recent polls showing competitive momentum. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects incumbency advantages and party institutional backing in Minnesota's open primary system.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,306
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 84% trader consensus in the Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from her securing the DFL party endorsement by acclamation at the district convention on May 11, unlocking key volunteer networks, fundraising support, and voter turnout machinery ahead of the August 11 primary. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and AFSCME union leader, withdrew her endorsement bid during her convention speech but pledged to contest the primary, positioning her as a distant second at 14.5% amid Omar's proven reelection record since 2019 and lack of recent polls showing competitive momentum. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects incumbency advantages and party institutional backing in Minnesota's open primary system.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,306
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilhan Omar" at 84%, followed by "Latonya Reeves" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $24.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Ilhan Omar" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Latonya Reeves" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.