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icon for MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

$36,368 Vol.

Polymarket

$36,368 Vol.

icon for Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

$28,917 Vol.

100%

icon for Latonya Reeves

Latonya Reeves

$7,450 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, primary, defeating challengers including Latonya Reeves, Julie Le, and others with roughly 80.7 percent of the vote. Her commanding position reflects established incumbency advantages, consistent district support in a solidly Democratic area centered on Minneapolis, and limited primary opposition momentum in the preceding months. The decisive margin aligns with historical patterns of strong re-nomination rates for sitting members in safe seats. Limited scenarios that could still alter resolution include official certification delays, recounts in close margins, or disputes over eligibility, though none have emerged given the scale of the reported results. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels captures this verified outcome while accounting for standard post-primary finalization steps.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,368
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, primary, defeating challengers including Latonya Reeves, Julie Le, and others with roughly 80.7 percent of the vote. Her commanding position reflects established incumbency advantages, consistent district support in a solidly Democratic area centered on Minneapolis, and limited primary opposition momentum in the preceding months. The decisive margin aligns with historical patterns of strong re-nomination rates for sitting members in safe seats. Limited scenarios that could still alter resolution include official certification delays, recounts in close margins, or disputes over eligibility, though none have emerged given the scale of the reported results. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels captures this verified outcome while accounting for standard post-primary finalization steps.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,368
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilhan Omar" at 100%, followed by "Latonya Reeves" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $36.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Ilhan Omar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Latonya Reeves" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.