Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27°C (36% implied probability) and 28°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty for Cape Town's maximum temperature tomorrow. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight warming driven by northeasterly flow and subsidence under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, which can elevate readings several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include variable cloud cover, wind speed, and sea-surface temperature anomalies that influence boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads remain wide, typical for short-range temperature predictions, with resolution hinging on whether the peak exceeds or falls short of the 27.5°C threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 13 de agosto?
27°C 36%
28°C 29%
26°C 17%
29°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 29%
26°C 17%
29°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$557 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$849 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$942 Vol.
1%
24°C
$525 Vol.
2%
25°C
$612 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,537 Vol.
17%
27°C
$1,053 Vol.
36%
28°C
$895 Vol.
29%
29°C
$579 Vol.
15%
30°C
$165 Vol.
1%
31°C ou mais
$405 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27°C (36% implied probability) and 28°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty for Cape Town's maximum temperature tomorrow. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight warming driven by northeasterly flow and subsidence under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, which can elevate readings several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include variable cloud cover, wind speed, and sea-surface temperature anomalies that influence boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads remain wide, typical for short-range temperature predictions, with resolution hinging on whether the peak exceeds or falls short of the 27.5°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,120Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27°C (36% implied probability) and 28°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty for Cape Town's maximum temperature tomorrow. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight warming driven by northeasterly flow and subsidence under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, which can elevate readings several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include variable cloud cover, wind speed, and sea-surface temperature anomalies that influence boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads remain wide, typical for short-range temperature predictions, with resolution hinging on whether the peak exceeds or falls short of the 27.5°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,120Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27°C (36% implied probability) and 28°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty for Cape Town's maximum temperature tomorrow. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight warming driven by northeasterly flow and subsidence under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, which can elevate readings several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 18–20°C. Key variables include variable cloud cover, wind speed, and sea-surface temperature anomalies that influence boundary-layer mixing. Model spreads remain wide, typical for short-range temperature predictions, with resolution hinging on whether the peak exceeds or falls short of the 27.5°C threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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