Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago no dia 7 de agosto?
30-31°C 39%
84-85°F 33%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
75°F ou menos
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
33%
30-31°C
39%
88-89°F
16%
32-32,8°C
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F ou mais
1%
30-31°C 39%
84-85°F 33%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
75°F ou menos
$160 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$160 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$86 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$63 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
33%
30-31°C
$317 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$62 Vol.
16%
32-32,8°C
$51 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
3%
94°F ou mais
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$793Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$793Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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