Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Denver high of 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability. A strong high-pressure ridge that produced record 102°F heat on August 3 has weakened, allowing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar heating at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation to moderate temperatures into the mid-80s. Historical August averages near 90°F provide context, yet recent observations show rapid response to steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are pricing limited upside risk from afternoon mixing or urban heat islands, with 84-89°F bins capturing over 90% of probability ahead of final official Denver International Airport readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Denver no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Denver no dia 5 de agosto?
30-31°C 47%
88-89°F 22%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 5.1%
NOVO
$26,062 Vol.
NOVO
$26,062 Vol.
5 ago 2026
75°F ou menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
21%
30-31°C
47%
88-89°F
22%
32-32,8°C
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F ou mais
<1%
30-31°C 47%
88-89°F 22%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 5.1%
NOVO
$26,062 Vol.
NOVO
$26,062 Vol.
5 ago 2026
75°F ou menos
$528 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$947 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,154 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$3,219 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$2,266 Vol.
21%
30-31°C
$4,278 Vol.
47%
88-89°F
$5,636 Vol.
22%
32-32,8°C
$3,371 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,277 Vol.
1%
94°F ou mais
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Denver high of 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability. A strong high-pressure ridge that produced record 102°F heat on August 3 has weakened, allowing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar heating at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation to moderate temperatures into the mid-80s. Historical August averages near 90°F provide context, yet recent observations show rapid response to steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are pricing limited upside risk from afternoon mixing or urban heat islands, with 84-89°F bins capturing over 90% of probability ahead of final official Denver International Airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$26,062Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Denver high of 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability. A strong high-pressure ridge that produced record 102°F heat on August 3 has weakened, allowing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar heating at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation to moderate temperatures into the mid-80s. Historical August averages near 90°F provide context, yet recent observations show rapid response to steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are pricing limited upside risk from afternoon mixing or urban heat islands, with 84-89°F bins capturing over 90% of probability ahead of final official Denver International Airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,062Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Denver high of 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading 86-87°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability. A strong high-pressure ridge that produced record 102°F heat on August 3 has weakened, allowing cooler northerly flow and reduced solar heating at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation to moderate temperatures into the mid-80s. Historical August averages near 90°F provide context, yet recent observations show rapid response to steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are pricing limited upside risk from afternoon mixing or urban heat islands, with 84-89°F bins capturing over 90% of probability ahead of final official Denver International Airport readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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