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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?

ago 12

ago 13

ago 14

ago 12

ago 13

ago 14

33°C 45%

34°C 28%

32°C 23%

31°C 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

$14,799 Vol.

33°C 45%

34°C 28%

32°C 23%

31°C 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

$14,799 Vol.

27°C or below

$413 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$949 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$1,016 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$1,440 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$3,024 Vol.

5%

32°C

$785 Vol.

23%

33°C

$2,767 Vol.

45%

34°C

$1,587 Vol.

28%

35°C

$1,952 Vol.

3%

36°C

$526 Vol.

1%

37°C or higher

$340 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has driven record Hong Kong Observatory readings near 37°C, sustaining very hot weather warnings and elevating trader focus on the 32–34°C band for August 13. Official forecasts indicate continued above-normal temperatures amid typical August humidity and variable steering flows, with model consensus pointing to modest moderation from cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap the daily maximum. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging near 32°C, yet the current anomalous heat keeps 33°C the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations ahead of the resolution window will likely refine these market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,799
Data de Término
13 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has driven record Hong Kong Observatory readings near 37°C, sustaining very hot weather warnings and elevating trader focus on the 32–34°C band for August 13. Official forecasts indicate continued above-normal temperatures amid typical August humidity and variable steering flows, with model consensus pointing to modest moderation from cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap the daily maximum. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging near 32°C, yet the current anomalous heat keeps 33°C the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations ahead of the resolution window will likely refine these market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,799
Data de Término
13 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "33°C" at 45%, followed by "34°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?" is "33°C" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "34°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.