Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 13 de agosto?
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
NOVO
$11,986 Vol.
NOVO
$11,986 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
51%
28°C
43%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
NOVO
$11,986 Vol.
NOVO
$11,986 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$435 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$715 Vol.
1%
26°C
$968 Vol.
4%
27°C
$3,298 Vol.
51%
28°C
$2,147 Vol.
43%
29°C
$745 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,012 Vol.
1%
31°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,986Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,986Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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