Ongoing summer conditions across northern China, including a persistent heat wave with official warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, have driven market-implied odds to 100% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–37°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence, well above the long-term August average of around 29–32°C. This aligns with historical climatology for the region, where extremes above 35°C occur frequently in mid-August. Only an unexpected rapid influx of cooler maritime air or significant model revision in the final hours could alter the outcome, though current observational data and ensemble consensus show no such signal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Jinan em 10 de agosto?
26°C ou mais 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
100%
26°C ou mais 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
$255 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$740 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$1,162 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer conditions across northern China, including a persistent heat wave with official warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, have driven market-implied odds to 100% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–37°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence, well above the long-term August average of around 29–32°C. This aligns with historical climatology for the region, where extremes above 35°C occur frequently in mid-August. Only an unexpected rapid influx of cooler maritime air or significant model revision in the final hours could alter the outcome, though current observational data and ensemble consensus show no such signal.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,684Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer conditions across northern China, including a persistent heat wave with official warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, have driven market-implied odds to 100% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–37°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence, well above the long-term August average of around 29–32°C. This aligns with historical climatology for the region, where extremes above 35°C occur frequently in mid-August. Only an unexpected rapid influx of cooler maritime air or significant model revision in the final hours could alter the outcome, though current observational data and ensemble consensus show no such signal.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,684Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer conditions across northern China, including a persistent heat wave with official warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, have driven market-implied odds to 100% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–37°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence, well above the long-term August average of around 29–32°C. This aligns with historical climatology for the region, where extremes above 35°C occur frequently in mid-August. Only an unexpected rapid influx of cooler maritime air or significant model revision in the final hours could alter the outcome, though current observational data and ensemble consensus show no such signal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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