Recent Met Office forecasts point to a 36°C peak in London on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, while some BBC and ensemble runs favor 34–35°C, creating the near-even split between those two market outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence is the dominant driver, maximizing solar insolation and limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress daytime highs. Sea-breeze moderation from the Thames and urban heat-island effects add local variability that forecasters continue to refine. Model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon cooling keeps the 35–36°C bracket tightly contested, with final guidance updates expected overnight likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 13 de agosto?
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
NOVO
$23,872 Vol.
NOVO
$23,872 Vol.
13 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
43%
36°C
37%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
NOVO
$23,872 Vol.
NOVO
$23,872 Vol.
13 ago 2026
30°C or below
$4,603 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,502 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$922 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,971 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,956 Vol.
10%
35°C
$3,510 Vol.
43%
36°C
$4,025 Vol.
37%
37°C
$1,778 Vol.
9%
38°C
$1,366 Vol.
2%
39°C
$665 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$573 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts point to a 36°C peak in London on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, while some BBC and ensemble runs favor 34–35°C, creating the near-even split between those two market outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence is the dominant driver, maximizing solar insolation and limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress daytime highs. Sea-breeze moderation from the Thames and urban heat-island effects add local variability that forecasters continue to refine. Model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon cooling keeps the 35–36°C bracket tightly contested, with final guidance updates expected overnight likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$23,872Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts point to a 36°C peak in London on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, while some BBC and ensemble runs favor 34–35°C, creating the near-even split between those two market outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence is the dominant driver, maximizing solar insolation and limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress daytime highs. Sea-breeze moderation from the Thames and urban heat-island effects add local variability that forecasters continue to refine. Model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon cooling keeps the 35–36°C bracket tightly contested, with final guidance updates expected overnight likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,872Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts point to a 36°C peak in London on August 13 amid an ongoing heatwave, while some BBC and ensemble runs favor 34–35°C, creating the near-even split between those two market outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence is the dominant driver, maximizing solar insolation and limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress daytime highs. Sea-breeze moderation from the Thames and urban heat-island effects add local variability that forecasters continue to refine. Model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon cooling keeps the 35–36°C bracket tightly contested, with final guidance updates expected overnight likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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