Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models indicate Milan highs on June 13 will likely reach 29–33°C amid seasonal early-summer warming and a shift toward more stable high-pressure patterns following recent heat spikes near 36°C earlier in the week. This positions 31°C and 32°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting the narrow range typical for the period when average June maxima hover near 28–30°C with modest day-to-day variability driven by local humidity and Po Valley airflow. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these values heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ outcomes that would require stronger advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Upcoming updated model runs from national meteorological services will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 13?
31°C 37%
32°C 20%
33°C 14%
30°C 14%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 20%
33°C 14%
30°C 14%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models indicate Milan highs on June 13 will likely reach 29–33°C amid seasonal early-summer warming and a shift toward more stable high-pressure patterns following recent heat spikes near 36°C earlier in the week. This positions 31°C and 32°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting the narrow range typical for the period when average June maxima hover near 28–30°C with modest day-to-day variability driven by local humidity and Po Valley airflow. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on these values heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ outcomes that would require stronger advection or clearer skies than currently projected. Upcoming updated model runs from national meteorological services will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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