Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles place Milan's June 19 maximum near the 33–34 °C threshold, with the narrow market spread reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and low-level advection across the Po Valley. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, downslope warming from the Alps, and the strength of the subtropical ridge will determine whether daytime insolation pushes the peak 1 °C higher or allows slightly cooler marine-influenced air to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 26–28 °C, so the current warmer pattern stems from persistent high pressure and above-average 850 hPa temperatures; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected overnight, will likely refine the exact value ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 19?
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
35°C 11%
32°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
34%
34°C
36%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
35°C 11%
32°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
34%
34°C
36%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles place Milan's June 19 maximum near the 33–34 °C threshold, with the narrow market spread reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and low-level advection across the Po Valley. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, downslope warming from the Alps, and the strength of the subtropical ridge will determine whether daytime insolation pushes the peak 1 °C higher or allows slightly cooler marine-influenced air to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 26–28 °C, so the current warmer pattern stems from persistent high pressure and above-average 850 hPa temperatures; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected overnight, will likely refine the exact value ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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