Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and weather25 indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13, with daytime highs projected around 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light late-day sprinkles, following higher readings near 18–19°C on August 12. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 19°C but reflects a short-term dip driven by shifting atmospheric patterns and increased moisture. Ensemble consensus supports 15–16°C as the most probable maximum, explaining the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes at 63.5% combined implied probability, while limiting upside to 17°C or above due to limited warming potential overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 13 de agosto?
16°C 40%
15°C 24%
17°C 23%
14°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 40%
15°C 24%
17°C 23%
14°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
$1,514 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$567 Vol.
4%
14°C
$935 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,272 Vol.
24%
16°C
$495 Vol.
40%
17°C
$925 Vol.
23%
18°C
$1,007 Vol.
5%
19°C
$357 Vol.
1%
20°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$839 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and weather25 indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13, with daytime highs projected around 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light late-day sprinkles, following higher readings near 18–19°C on August 12. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 19°C but reflects a short-term dip driven by shifting atmospheric patterns and increased moisture. Ensemble consensus supports 15–16°C as the most probable maximum, explaining the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes at 63.5% combined implied probability, while limiting upside to 17°C or above due to limited warming potential overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,546Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and weather25 indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13, with daytime highs projected around 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light late-day sprinkles, following higher readings near 18–19°C on August 12. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 19°C but reflects a short-term dip driven by shifting atmospheric patterns and increased moisture. Ensemble consensus supports 15–16°C as the most probable maximum, explaining the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes at 63.5% combined implied probability, while limiting upside to 17°C or above due to limited warming potential overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,546Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and weather25 indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13, with daytime highs projected around 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light late-day sprinkles, following higher readings near 18–19°C on August 12. This aligns with seasonal August averages near 19°C but reflects a short-term dip driven by shifting atmospheric patterns and increased moisture. Ensemble consensus supports 15–16°C as the most probable maximum, explaining the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes at 63.5% combined implied probability, while limiting upside to 17°C or above due to limited warming potential overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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