Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts a daily high of 36°C for Taipei on August 12 under stable subtropical conditions with no typhoon or frontal systems intruding. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 32–34°C but peak readings often hit the mid-30s amid high humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for exactly 36°C reflects this official guidance plus model agreement on limited afternoon convection from isolated showers. Measurement at designated stations could shift if localized rainfall or urban heat island effects alter the recorded maximum, though current steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 12 de agosto?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$44,819 Vol.
$44,819 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$44,819 Vol.
$44,819 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts a daily high of 36°C for Taipei on August 12 under stable subtropical conditions with no typhoon or frontal systems intruding. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 32–34°C but peak readings often hit the mid-30s amid high humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for exactly 36°C reflects this official guidance plus model agreement on limited afternoon convection from isolated showers. Measurement at designated stations could shift if localized rainfall or urban heat island effects alter the recorded maximum, though current steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions