Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with northwest winds of 5-10 mph and limited cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 31-32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs range 29-32°C absent heatwaves or strong southerly flow. Multiple sources show hourly peaks clustering around 30-31°C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to push values higher. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 32°C as the leading outcome, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 33°C if observed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 11 de setembro?
32°C 74%
31°C 16%
33°C 11%
30°C 2%
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
74%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 74%
31°C 16%
33°C 11%
30°C 2%
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
74%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with northwest winds of 5-10 mph and limited cloud cover, supporting a daytime maximum near 31-32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs range 29-32°C absent heatwaves or strong southerly flow. Multiple sources show hourly peaks clustering around 30-31°C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions expected to push values higher. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 32°C as the leading outcome, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 33°C if observed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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