Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 31°C in Tokyo on August 14 under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak heating. Model consensus and recent observational trends, including surface temperature readings and urban heat-island effects, reinforce this outcome, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, though scenarios such as sudden convective showers, stronger sea breezes, or forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the measured high by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 14 de agosto?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$128,957 Vol.
$128,957 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$128,957 Vol.
$128,957 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C or below
$546 Vol.
No
23°C
$534 Vol.
No
24°C
$637 Vol.
No
25°C
$14,685 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,603 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,340 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,386 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,048 Vol.
No
30°C
$25,985 Vol.
No
31°C
$20,894 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$16,301 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 31°C in Tokyo on August 14 under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak heating. Model consensus and recent observational trends, including surface temperature readings and urban heat-island effects, reinforce this outcome, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, though scenarios such as sudden convective showers, stronger sea breezes, or forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the measured high by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$128,957Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 31°C in Tokyo on August 14 under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak heating. Model consensus and recent observational trends, including surface temperature readings and urban heat-island effects, reinforce this outcome, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, though scenarios such as sudden convective showers, stronger sea breezes, or forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the measured high by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128,957Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 31°C in Tokyo on August 14 under typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure conditions, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak heating. Model consensus and recent observational trends, including surface temperature readings and urban heat-island effects, reinforce this outcome, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these stable atmospheric patterns, though scenarios such as sudden convective showers, stronger sea breezes, or forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the measured high by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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