Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 13 de agosto?
23°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,324 Vol.
$41,324 Vol.
13 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,324 Vol.
$41,324 Vol.
13 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$722 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,789 Vol.
Não
22°C
$5,758 Vol.
Não
23°C
$11,454 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$12,739 Vol.
Não
25°C
$3,628 Vol.
Não
26°C
$2,821 Vol.
Não
27°C
$528 Vol.
Não
28°C
$893 Vol.
Não
29°C
$782 Vol.
Não
30°C ou mais
$210 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$41,324Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,324Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions