Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 17%
13°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 17%
13°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
9°C or below
$308 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$20 Vol.
2%
13°C
$23 Vol.
7%
14°C
$51 Vol.
32%
15°C
$72 Vol.
39%
16°C
$167 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$56 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$494Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$494Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService indicate a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on June 13, with other models ranging 13–15°C amid variable northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment clusters on 14–15°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show narrow spread driven by uncertainty in daytime heating, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait. In winter, southerly advection of cooler maritime air can cap highs near seasonal averages of 13°C, while clearer northerly regimes allow modest warming to 15–16°C through increased insolation. Upcoming model runs and MetService updates will likely resolve the tight probability split between these outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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