The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 10 de setembro?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,704 Vol.
$4,704 Vol.
10 set 2026
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,704 Vol.
$4,704 Vol.
10 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$259 Vol.
Não
23°C
$239 Vol.
Não
24°C
$415 Vol.
Não
25°C
$437 Vol.
Não
26°C
$207 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,077 Vol.
Sim
28°C
$958 Vol.
Não
29°C
$983 Vol.
Não
30°C
$20 Vol.
Não
31°C
$55 Vol.
Não
32°C ou mais
$55 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,704Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,704Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions