Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high near 38–40°C for Jeddah on September 14, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and the seasonal persistence of hot, humid Red Sea coastal conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. September climatology shows typical maxima around 36–38°C, with the current streak of 37–38°C readings reflecting above-normal departure from the 31.5°C monthly mean amid stable atmospheric patterns. Key variables differentiating 35–39°C outcomes include minor shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing, with the 23% market-implied odds on 39°C+ capturing upside potential if subsidence strengthens. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 14 de setembro?
39°C ou mais 46%
37°C 39%
38°C 39%
36°C 34%
29°C ou menos
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
34%
37°C
39%
38°C
39%
39°C ou mais
46%
39°C ou mais 46%
37°C 39%
38°C 39%
36°C 34%
29°C ou menos
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
34%
37°C
39%
38°C
39%
39°C ou mais
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high near 38–40°C for Jeddah on September 14, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and the seasonal persistence of hot, humid Red Sea coastal conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. September climatology shows typical maxima around 36–38°C, with the current streak of 37–38°C readings reflecting above-normal departure from the 31.5°C monthly mean amid stable atmospheric patterns. Key variables differentiating 35–39°C outcomes include minor shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing, with the 23% market-implied odds on 39°C+ capturing upside potential if subsidence strengthens. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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